Clinicogenomic Differences Between Early-Onset (EO-PCa) and Late-Onset Prostate Cancer (LO-PCa): A Large-Scale Retrospective Cohort Study

ESMO 2026

Oct 23, 2026
Oncology
Presentation

Christos E. Kyriakopoulos, Panagiotis J. Vlachostergios, Anthony V. Serritella, John M. Floberg, Yingying Yu, Stamatina Fragkogianni, Kayla Viets Layng, Rana R. McKay, David F Jarrard, Glenn Liu, Joshua M Lang

Background
EO-PCa is increasingly recognized as a biologically distinct entity, but its clinical behavior, molecular features, and outcomes relative to LO-PCa are incompletely characterized.

 

Methods
The Tempus Lens Platform (Tempus AI, Inc., Chicago, IL) was used to query the de-identified, multimodal database for patients (pts) diagnosed with metastatic prostate cancer (N= 6,967) tested with Tempus xT (DNA-seq) and xR (RNA-seq). Eligible pts had a sample collected within 60 days of diagnosis and were stratified by onset age (EO-PCa ≤55 years; LO-PCa >55 years). Clinicogenomic characteristics were compared using Wilcoxon rank-sum tests or chi-squared tests as appropriate. Real-world overall survival (rwOS) was defined as the time from sample collection to death or loss to follow up. Median rwOS (mOS) was estimated using Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves and compared using log-rank tests. Hazard ratios (HR) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. Risk set adjustment was used to account for immortal time bias.

 

Results
EO-PCa comprised 8.4% of cases and was more common in Black than white pts (24% vs 18%, p=0.004). Metastatic disease at diagnosis was observed in 83% of EO-PCa vs 87% of LO-PCa. Pts with EO-PCa had higher median PSA levels [median 87 ng/mL vs 71 ng/mL, p=0.009] and were more likely to undergo primary treatment (radiotherapy: 37% vs 26%; prostatectomy: 19% vs 10%, p<0.001). EO-PCa was enriched for germline BRCA2 variants (4.8% vs 2.6%, p=0.019) and TMPRSS2 (40% vs 35%, p=0.015) and ERG fusions (41% vs 37%, p=0.031). FOXA1 (15% vs 9.4%, p<0.001) and SPOP mutations (11% vs. 8.2%, p=0.033) were more common in LO-PCa. EO-PCa was associated with longer mOS [42 vs 32 months, HR = 1.51 (95% CI 1.26-1.81), p<0.001]. SPOP alterations were prognostic for favorable mOS (LO-PCa: 52 months vs 30.7 months, p<0.001; EO-PCa: 67.1 months vs 41.7 months, p= 0.41). TP53 alterations were prognostic for worse mOS (LO-PCa: mOS 25.9 months vs 37.9 months, p<0.001; EO-PCa: mOS 33.8 vs 55.9 months, p<0.001).

 

Conclusions
EO-PCa exhibits distinct clinical and molecular characteristics compared to LO-PCa. OS appears to be driven by a combination of age and tumor biology.