Molecular Classification of Neuroendocrine Carcinoma of the Bladder

ASCO 2026

May 21, 2026
Oncology
Presentation

Shijia Li, Margaret Han, Christina Thai, Kayla Viets Layng, Lorenzo Grego, Unnati Jariwala, Jonathan Chou, Vadim S. Koshkin, Terence W. Friedlander, Claire Mulvey, Emily K. Bergsland, Rahul Raj Aggarwal, Eric J. Small, Xiaolin Zhu

**Background
**Neuroendocrine carcinoma (NEC) of the bladder is a rare and aggressive cancer with limited treatment options. Recent studies reported molecular subtypes resembling small cell lung cancer (SCLC), specifically those associated with transcription factors (TFs) ASCL1, NEUROD1, and POU2F3. A subset of bladder NEC remains unclassified. ATOH1 was recently identified as a TF associated with a minority of SCLC tumors.

 

Methods
The Tempus Lens Platform (Tempus AI, Inc., Chicago, IL) was used to query the multimodal de- identified database and establish a cohort of 121 patients with bladder NEC. We analyzed the genomic and transcriptomic profiles using tempusverse and custom code. K-means consensus clustering of gene expression was used to identify molecular subtypes; subsequently, tumor genetic alterations (single-nucleotide variants [SNVs], indels, and copy number alterations [CNAs]) and gene expression profiles were compared across these subtypes. Fisher’s exact test was used to compare the frequency of events across categorical groups. limma-trend and empirical Bayes statistics were used for differential gene expression analysis. The Cox proportional hazards model and the Kaplan-Meier method were used for survival analysis. consensusMIBC was used for the consensus molecular classification.

 

**Results
**Within the cohort, 103 were classified as neuroendocrine (NE)-like using consensusMIBC and were further analyzed in this study. The median age at diagnosis was 71 years (interquartile range, 63–76), with a male predominance (77%). Using the four SCLC TFs (ASCL1, NEUROD1, POU2F3, and ATOH1; YAP1 was excluded as it was recently found to be expressed in the non-NE components of mixed bladder NECs), we identified a five-type system that classifies most samples: ASCL1+/NEUROD1- (n = 37; 36%), ASCL1-/NEUROD1+ (n = 23; 22%), ASCL1+/NEUROD1+ (n = 16; 16%), POU2F3+ (n = 23; 22%), and ATOH1+ (n = 4; 4%). Each subtype was associated with a distinct gene expression profile with representative markers: ASCL1, SOX2, and DLL3 (ASCL1+/NEUROD1-); NEUROD1, NEUROD4, and SSTR2 (ASCL1-/NEUROD1+); ETV1, NKX2-1, and NKX2-2 (ASCL1+/NEUROD1+); POU2F3, GFI1B, and POU2AF2 (POU2F3+); ATOH1, POU4F3, and USH2A (ATOH1+). POU2F3+ tumors expressed low NE markers and high PLCG2 and ERBB3; ATOH1+ tumors often expressed NE markers and tended to overexpress ALK. No statistically significant tumor SNVs, indels, or CNAs were differentially observed across the subtypes; TP53 (92%), TERT (82%), and RB1 (62%) were the most frequently altered genes in the entire cohort. Univariate analysis showed a worse real-time overall survival of ASCL1+/NEUROD1+ (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.1, p = 0.01), POU2F3+ (HR = 3.4, p = 0.001), and ATOH1+ (HR = 8.4, p = 0.0003), compared with ASCL1+/NEUROD1- tumors.

 

Conclusions
We report an effective, clinically relevant molecular classification system for bladder NECs, including the newly described ATOH1+ subtype.