Background: Patients with HR+ MBC are treated with first-line endocrine therapy plus CDK4/6 inhibitors, but resistance often emerges through ESR1 or PIK3CA mutations (MUT). Co-mutations (co-MUT), present in ∼10-15% of patients, remain poorly understood. Here, we compare molecular features and Real-world overall survival (rwOS) among patients with co-MUT vs. those with single or no mutations (no-MUT).
Methods: We used Tempus Lens (Tempus AI, Inc., Chicago, IL) to identify patients with a primary diagnosis of MBC who had Tempus xF or xT testing from the Tempus multi-modal database (N = 8,626). Patients with tumor purity of at least 30% were assessed and all pathogenic or likely pathogenic (P/LP) somatic SNVs/indels for PIK3CA, ESR1, and TP53 were extracted. Polyclonal ESR1 and PIK3CA were defined as more than one distinct P/LP somatic SNV/indel. Tumor mutational burden (TMB) (mt/mB) was analyzed by DNA-sequencing. rwOS analyses were run for all samples collected in the year preceding any line of therapy using risk-set adjusted Cox models with the start of therapy as the index date, the later date of sequencing and treatment start as the study entry time, and a maximum follow up of 5 years.
Results: Of the total cohort, 53% of patients had no-MUTs, 32% were PIK3CA-MUT, 9% were ESR1-MUT, and 6% were co-MUT. As shown in the table, age and hormone receptor status were significantly different between the groups, but not race. The co-MUT group exhibited a higher prevalence of bone metastases, while ESR1-only patients had increased liver and lung involvement. TP53 P/LP MUT were present in 33% (N=903) of the PIK3CA-only patients and 24% (N=131) of the co-MUT patients. High TMB rate was significantly different between all groups and was highest in the co-MUT and PIK3CA patients (15% vs 14%). Polyclonal changes in both genes were also more frequent in the co-MUT group. The most common ESR1 mutation was p.D538G (6.4%), while p.His1047Arg was the predominant PIK3CA mutation (14%, n=1,187). Liquid biopsy identified 40% of co-MUT, while tissue sequencing detected 61%. Co-MUT patients had significantly worse rwOS compared to no-MUT (HR=1.75, p<0.001), though evidence of non-proportionality was observed.
Conclusions: Herein, we characterized the largest real-world cohort of co-MUT HR+ MBC patients, identifying distinct clinical and molecular features such as enriched bone metastasis, higher TMB, and increased polyclonality. The lower overall frequency of ESR1 MUT and co-MUT likely reflects that only 25% of patients had late molecular testing, suggesting these mutations often arise after prolonged endocrine therapy. In this subgroup, the ESR1 MUT rate was 24% and the co-MUT rate was 15%, as expected. Limitations include the retrospective design; future studies will address these and examine PTEN/AKT alterations.
Table 1
Cohort demographic and clinical characteristics.
|
No-MUT (N=4,561) |
PIK3CA-only (N=2,747) |
ESR1-only (N=779) |
Co-MUT (N= 539) |
P-value |
| ER and PR Status |
|
|
|
|
<0.001 |
| ER-, PR+ |
136 (3.1%) |
44 (1.7%) |
0 (0%) |
2 (0.4%) |
|
| ER+, PR- |
1,793 (41%) |
968 (37%) |
152 (21%) |
95 (18%) |
|
| ER+, PR+ |
2,460 (56%) |
1,615 (61%) |
579 (79%) |
417 (81%) |
|
| Missing Obs. |
N=172 |
N=120 |
N=48 |
N=25 |
|
| Age at biopsy (IQR) |
62 (51, 70) |
64 (56, 72) |
62 (54, 70) |
65 (58, 73) |
<0.001 |
| Missing Obs. |
N=39 |
N=38 |
N=3 |
N=5 |
|
| Race, N (%) |
|
|
|
|
0.069 |
| White |
2,375 (75%) |
1,495 (79%) |
424 (76%) |
301 (80%) |
|
| Black or African American |
404 (13%) |
193 (10%) |
70 (12%) |
37 (9.8%) |
|
| Asian |
142 (4.5%) |
80 (4.2%) |
25 (4.5%) |
10 (2.6%) |
|
| Other Race |
257 (8.1%) |
132 (6.9%) |
42 (7.5%) |
30 (7.9%) |
|
| Missing Obs. |
N=1,383 |
N=847 |
N=218 |
N=161 |
|
| Bone metastasis N (%) |
2,245 (49%) |
1,449 (53%) |
455 (58%) |
323 (60%) |
<0.001 |
| Liver metastasis N (%) |
1,187 (26%) |
713 (26%) |
434 (56%) |
246 (46%) |
<0.001 |
| Lung metastasis N (%) |
952 (21%) |
495 (18%) |
177 (23%) |
72 (13%) |
<0.001 |
| Polyclonal PIK3CA, N (%) |
0 (0%) |
354 (13%) |
0 (0%) |
99 (18%) |
<0.001 |
| Polyclonal ESR1, N (%) |
0 (0%) |
0 (0%) |
66 (8.5%) |
63 (12%) |
<0.001 |
| TP53 P/LP MUT |
1,457 (32%) |
903 (33%) |
170 (22%) |
131 (24%) |
<0.001 |
| TMB, N (%) |
|
|
|
|
<0.001 |
| High |
164 (6.3%) |
277 (14%) |
30 (5.7%) |
48 (15%) |
|
| Low |
2,433 (94%) |
1,720 (86%) |
500 (94%) |
278 (85%) |
|
| Missing Obs. |
N=1,964 |
N=750 |
N=249 |
N=213 |
|
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