02/17/2026

Clinical and Molecular Landscape of ESR1 and PIK3CA Co-Mutated Hormone Receptor-Positive Metastatic Breast Cancer (HR+ MBC): Insights from 8,626 Patients Including Polyclonality and TP53 Alterations

SABCS 2025 PRESENTATION
Authors A. Sivapiragasam; A. Dugan; S. Fragkogianni; M. Ciampricotti; E. Williams

Background: Patients with HR+ MBC are treated with first-line endocrine therapy plus CDK4/6 inhibitors, but resistance often emerges through ESR1 or PIK3CA mutations (MUT). Co-mutations (co-MUT), present in ∼10-15% of patients, remain poorly understood. Here, we compare molecular features and Real-world overall survival (rwOS) among patients with co-MUT vs. those with single or no mutations (no-MUT).

Methods: We used Tempus Lens (Tempus AI, Inc., Chicago, IL) to identify patients with a primary diagnosis of MBC who had Tempus xF or xT testing from the Tempus multi-modal database (N = 8,626). Patients with tumor purity of at least 30% were assessed and all pathogenic or likely pathogenic (P/LP) somatic SNVs/indels for PIK3CA, ESR1, and TP53 were extracted. Polyclonal ESR1 and PIK3CA were defined as more than one distinct P/LP somatic SNV/indel. Tumor mutational burden (TMB) (mt/mB) was analyzed by DNA-sequencing. rwOS analyses were run for all samples collected in the year preceding any line of therapy using risk-set adjusted Cox models with the start of therapy as the index date, the later date of sequencing and treatment start as the study entry time, and a maximum follow up of 5 years.

Results: Of the total cohort, 53% of patients had no-MUTs, 32% were PIK3CA-MUT, 9% were ESR1-MUT, and 6% were co-MUT. As shown in the table, age and hormone receptor status were significantly different between the groups, but not race. The co-MUT group exhibited a higher prevalence of bone metastases, while ESR1-only patients had increased liver and lung involvement. TP53 P/LP MUT were present in 33% (N=903) of the PIK3CA-only patients and 24% (N=131) of the co-MUT patients. High TMB rate was significantly different between all groups and was highest in the co-MUT and PIK3CA patients (15% vs 14%). Polyclonal changes in both genes were also more frequent in the co-MUT group. The most common ESR1 mutation was p.D538G (6.4%), while p.His1047Arg was the predominant PIK3CA mutation (14%, n=1,187). Liquid biopsy identified 40% of co-MUT, while tissue sequencing detected 61%. Co-MUT patients had significantly worse rwOS compared to no-MUT (HR=1.75, p<0.001), though evidence of non-proportionality was observed.

Conclusions: Herein, we characterized the largest real-world cohort of co-MUT HR+ MBC patients, identifying distinct clinical and molecular features such as enriched bone metastasis, higher TMB, and increased polyclonality. The lower overall frequency of ESR1 MUT and co-MUT likely reflects that only 25% of patients had late molecular testing, suggesting these mutations often arise after prolonged endocrine therapy. In this subgroup, the ESR1 MUT rate was 24% and the co-MUT rate was 15%, as expected. Limitations include the retrospective design; future studies will address these and examine PTEN/AKT alterations.

Table 1

Cohort demographic and clinical characteristics.

No-MUT (N=4,561) PIK3CA-only (N=2,747) ESR1-only (N=779) Co-MUT (N= 539) P-value
ER and PR Status <0.001
ER-, PR+ 136 (3.1%) 44 (1.7%) 0 (0%) 2 (0.4%)
ER+, PR- 1,793 (41%) 968 (37%) 152 (21%) 95 (18%)
ER+, PR+ 2,460 (56%) 1,615 (61%) 579 (79%) 417 (81%)
Missing Obs. N=172 N=120 N=48 N=25
Age at biopsy (IQR) 62 (51, 70) 64 (56, 72) 62 (54, 70) 65 (58, 73) <0.001
Missing Obs. N=39 N=38 N=3 N=5
Race, N (%) 0.069
White 2,375 (75%) 1,495 (79%) 424 (76%) 301 (80%)
Black or African American 404 (13%) 193 (10%) 70 (12%) 37 (9.8%)
Asian 142 (4.5%) 80 (4.2%) 25 (4.5%) 10 (2.6%)
Other Race 257 (8.1%) 132 (6.9%) 42 (7.5%) 30 (7.9%)
Missing Obs. N=1,383 N=847 N=218 N=161
Bone metastasis N (%) 2,245 (49%) 1,449 (53%) 455 (58%) 323 (60%) <0.001
Liver metastasis N (%) 1,187 (26%) 713 (26%) 434 (56%) 246 (46%) <0.001
Lung metastasis N (%) 952 (21%) 495 (18%) 177 (23%) 72 (13%) <0.001
Polyclonal PIK3CA, N (%) 0 (0%) 354 (13%) 0 (0%) 99 (18%) <0.001
Polyclonal ESR1, N (%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 66 (8.5%) 63 (12%) <0.001
TP53 P/LP MUT 1,457 (32%) 903 (33%) 170 (22%) 131 (24%) <0.001
TMB, N (%) <0.001
High 164 (6.3%) 277 (14%) 30 (5.7%) 48 (15%)
Low 2,433 (94%) 1,720 (86%) 500 (94%) 278 (85%)
Missing Obs. N=1,964 N=750 N=249 N=213

 

 

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